Opinion: Inventory market’s No. 1 predictor of after-inflation return is now solidly bearish — 7 different prime valuation fashions are too


Have inventory valuation indicators have stopped working? It’s a good query, given their virtually common message for a number of years now that the U.S. inventory market has been extraordinarily overvalued. If these indicators have deteriorated, then we will be extra relaxed when contemplating the bearish indicators they’ve been emitting.

As a way to take a look at whether or not valuation indicators have misplaced their efficacy, I divided U.S. inventory market historical past into two intervals, with a breakpoint initially of this century. I then measured whether or not the valuation…


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